Considering a Flattening Yield Curve and Implications for the Economy

In a recent Business Insider article, the indicator with an almost perfect record of predicting US recessions is edging towards a tipping point, Macquarie Bank was quoted, “The yield curve has inverted within the 24 months preceding each of the past five recessions, and has only inverted once without a recession following in the ensuing two years.” That, folks, is a record worthy of attention.

So let’s look at what has been happening with the yield curve, paying particular attention to the spread between the 2-year and 10-year treasuries, generally observed as the most relevant single gauge.

U.S. Treasury Yield Curve April 25, 2018 vs. One Year Prior

U.S. Treasury Yield Curve April 25, 2018 vs. One Year Prior

Above is a chart of the U.S. Treasury Yield Curve on April 25, 2018 versus one year prior. The flattening can be observed in the proportionately higher increase in rates in the short end (green line is new), with rates increasing near 100 bp for most shorter maturities, while longer-term maturities increased, but significantly less.

Historical Two and Five Year U.S. Treasury Yields and Differential for the Five Years Ending April 25, 2018

Historical Two and Five Year U.S. Treasury Yields and Differential for the Five Years Ending April 25, 2018

This flattening of the yield curve can be observed directly in the second chart, Historical Two and Five Year U.S. Treasury Yields and Differential for the Five Years Ending April 25, 2018. In this chart, the grey “differential” line can be observed to steadily decline. In the aforementioned BI article, this trend is judged to be heading toward a 2019 meeting with zero, i.e. a flat yield curve.

Macquerie Bank notes this as happening reliably up to two years prior to the beginning of a recession, not necessarily immediately preceding one. Thus, if all this holds, this would seem to indicate some likelihood of a recession in one to three years, a year for the spread between the 2-year and 10-year US Treasury rates to compress, then up to 2 years for the predicted recession to begin. The yield curve flattening could, however, flatten or even reverse, and the indicator could strike out this time. Time will tell, but of course the wisdom of economist Herbert Stein is bound to bear out in the end; if something cannot go on forever, it will stop.”

The post Considering a Flattening Yield Curve and Implications for the Economy appeared first on HawkinsCRE.

Powered by WPeMatico

Miami Commercial Real Estate News April 25, 2018: Mega Mall Heads for Final Approvals; Updates on Amazon HQ2; More…

American Dream Miami mega mall heads to county commission for final approvals

More than a year after securing initial approvals from Miami-Dade County for what is planned to be the country’s largest mall, Triple Five Group will return to the county next month for a final OK. A development impact committee moved the $4 billion, 3.5-million-square-foot project along at a meeting on Tuesday. From there, it will go before the county’s planning advisory board on May 7 and a final vote…

82-story skyscraper headed for heart of downtown Miami

The heart of downtown Miami is set to change in a big way – literally – when the 14-story Marriott hotel comes down to make room for an 82-story skyscraper known as 2nd & 2nd. A developer plans an 898-foot mixed-use tower at 200 SE Second Avenue, with a hotel, rental apartments, retail and a two-story corner bar in a glass circle. The site today is home to a Courtyard by Marriott. Miami…

Chicago Developer Sterling Bay plans Wynwood office tower

A Chicago development company whose client list includes Google and McDonald’s plans to build a large office building in Wynwood.
Sterling Bay LLC is the applicant and development partner of the owner of contiguous properties at 537-557 NW 26th Street and 530-550 NW 27th Street in Wynwood. The proposal is for a 10-story mixed-use office building with ground floor retail, to be called 545 WYN.

Amazon discreetly visits HQ2 cities in Phase 2 of extraordinary second headquarters competition

Amazon is on tour. The Seattle tech titan is visiting the 20 cities competing for its second headquarters, collecting data and touring potential sites for the project to inform the company’s final decision. Reports of visits from Amazon officials are starting to pop up in some of the cities, like Toronto and the Washington, D.C. region. Three cities from the D.C. metro made it onto Amazon’s short list…

Report: Signs point to Boston or Washington D.C. for Amazon HQ2

Given some of the key factors behind what Amazon is looking for in a city to host its second headquarters — including being in a major metro area with a “strong university system” — the Conference Board’s economic research group determined that Boston and Washington, D.C. are likely to top Amazon’s list, per MarketWatch. Their findings: Conference Board analysts found that Amazon’s job…

By the numbers: Is Amazon HQ2 all that?

Ever since Amazon announced last fall that it was looking for a new location for a second headquarters, aptly dubbed HQ2, North American cities have been tripping over themselves to woo the retail giant. But opinions differ on what the $5 billion Amazon campus would mean for residential prices, congestion and the local economy more broadly. And some have characterized the competition as a…

City seeks to retain National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Miami city commissioners are urging the federal government to retain the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Fisheries Headquarters at its current location on Virginia Key. NOAA is reportedly considering relocating its Southeast Fisheries Science Center to St. Petersburg because the fisheries center on Virginia Key is outdated and needs improvement. NOAA’s facilities on the barrier…

MCM, contractor behind collapsed FIU bridge, sued over deal to build Guantanamo Bay school in Cuba

The contractor behind the collapsed Florida International University pedestrian bridge is being sued by a Florida construction company over a $63 million contract to replace a military school in Guantanamo Bay, Cuba. Islands Mechanical Contractor alleges in the suit, filed in Miami-Dade County Court, that Miami-based Munilla Construction Management (MCM) failed to honor an agreement for…

Retail rents are rising in Miami-Dade: Q1 report

Retail rents are on the rise in Miami-Dade County, despite the doom and gloom surrounding retail nationwide. A first quarter report from Colliers International South Florida shows asking rent increased to $39.59 per square foot, up 14.5 percent from $34.56 per square foot a year ago. The vacancy rate increased slightly to 3.8 percent, up from 3.6 percent in the first quarter of 2017. About 1.9 million square feet…

How real estate developers are using artificial intelligence in Miami: eMerge Americas panel

As big data and artificial intelligence keep pushing into the real estate sector, Miami developers say they are beginning to embrace the technology for analyzing acquisition opportunities and potential development deals, as well as uncovering regulatory hurdles and market conditions that could hurt their plans. Vagabond Group founder Avra Jain recently started…

Michael Stern’s JDS scores Miami’s largest condo construction loan in nearly a year

Michael Stern’s JDS Development scored a $137 million construction loan for a South Beach condo project known as Monad Terrace, in what appears to be the largest financing deal in Miami’s market in nearly a year. Madison Realty Capital, a New York-based real estate investor and lender, provided the financing for the 59-unit, Jean Nouvel-designed project at 1300 Monad Terrace. The loan isn’t…

HealthGains scoops up Integra’s medical office condos at Aventura ParkSquare

HealthGains just bought the entire ninth floor at Integra Investment’s ParkSquare Wellness development, and has scored construction financing to build out the space, property records show. Park Square Holding LLC, led by HealthGains’ Mark White, paid a little more than $7 million for 11 units at ParkSquare Wellness, a 41,000-square-foot wellness medical center at 2920 Northeast 207th Street. The total…

Luxury condo developers could benefit from tax provision meant for low earners

A provision in the new tax law that was designed to help spur economic development in low-income neighborhoods could be exploited by real estate developers who want to build luxury condominiums. The little-known change in the tax code passed late last year would allow states to designate “opportunity zones” in low-income areas, Bloomberg reported. Some community groups and tax policy experts…

Related, partner to close $33 million loan for Lenny Kravitz-designed Wynwood project

The Related Group and Block Capital Group broke ground on a mixed-use development in Wynwood with plans to close on a nearly $33 million construction loan later this month. The joint venture is building the Bradley, a 175-unit apartment building with about 32,000 square feet of retail space and an underground parking garage on the site at 51 Northwest 26th Street. Related vice president Jon Paul…

MMG Equity Partners picks up Pinecrest Shoppes, plans renovations

An affiliate of MMG Equity Partners just paid $6.2 million for a shopping center in Pinecrest, with plans for a major renovation. Pinecrest Shoppes, a 14,560-square-foot shopping center at 11635 South Dixie Highway, traded hands for about $425 per square foot. The seller, Penn Suniland LLC, bought the property in 2007 for $6.85 million, meaning it sold at a loss since the height of the market before the…

Will self-driving cars accelerate development?

If driverless cars and buses become the standard mode of transport, developers could have a lot more land to play with. Parking lots, garages and street-level parking could become less vital, leaving more room for projects, an executive focused on the self-driving car and autonomous vehicle space said at the Greater Miami Chamber of Commerce’s annual real estate awards Friday. “In some cities, as much…”

PriceSmart Finds No Shortage of Tenants for Old Digs in Medley

When PriceSmart moved most of its operations last year to Flagler Station III in Medley, FL, the warehouse club operator still was on the hook for a large block of industrial space at Flagler Station II. But two recent deals have made PriceSmart’s commitment a lot less burdensome. It signed a sublease for 70,424 square feet with Dade Paper & Bag at Flagler Station II at 10800 NW 100th Street

Large Corporations Leasing More Space from Co-Working Providers

Co-working options – offered by shared office space providers such as WeWork, Axis and Quest – are on the rise in Miami. The Miami Downtown Development Authority (DDA) reports at least 30 co-working spaces have popped up in downtown Miami alone and have attracted a number of large corporations as tenants. Twitter, Spotify, TripAdvisor, Microsoft and Wix have all taken shared office space…

Sergio’s to open fast-casual concept in Brickell & other restaurant news

Sergio’s Restaurants is bringing its fast-casual concept to Brickell. Sergio’s Cuban Kitchen + Bar signed a 10-year, nearly 2,600-square-foot lease at 40 Southwest 12th Street, RKF managing director John Ellis said. Ellis and Aaron Labovitz represented the landlord, real estate developer Bernard Wolfson. Wolfson owns the building, the Hampton Inn & Suites by Hilton Miami Brickell Downtown above. Sharon…

‘One unit per floor’ condos are coming to Bay Harbor Islands

The seven units in the Bermello Ajamil-designed boutique property start at $4.4 million Unlike any other property in Bay Harbor Islands, OPUS Bay Harbor, an 8-story boutique condominium, will be made up of only seven units. Brokerage firm, Compass, released renderings of the residency, which is slated to break ground in Fall 2018. Designed by award-winning architect Bermello Ajamil, OPUS Bay Harbor…

Miami Beach rising seas strategy needs more solutions: ULI panel

To combat rising seas, Miami Beach needs to build taller seawalls throughout the island, use green spaces to sponge off water, and should consider commissioning art installations in parks that can catch stormwater runoff, according to a group of Urban Land Institute architects, engineers, market analysts and real estate professionals. Miami Beach is off to a good start mitigating the impact of rising…

Developers close on $21M construction loan for AC Hotel in Edgewater

An AC Hotel by Marriott will soon go vertical in Miami’s Edgewater neighborhood. Property records show a company tied to Aztec Group’s Boaz Ashbel just scored a $21.3 million construction loan for the hotel development, set to rise on the former Midtown Inn Miami site at 3400 Biscayne Boulevard, near the Julia Tuttle Causeway. Midtown Lodging 2 LLC, an affiliate of Aztec and Tennessee-based 3H…

Miami home prices feeling the impact of sea level rise, new research suggests

It looks like sea level rise is beginning to impact home prices in Miami. Prices of single-family homes at lower elevations are rising at a slower pace than those at higher elevations, new research conducted by the Journal of Environmental Research Letters shows. James Keenan, who authored the study, told the Wall Street Journal that homeowners appear to be factoring in the future of sea level rise into…

Estate Investment Group nabs loan for latest West Miami resi project

Estate Investment Group closed on a $57.8 million construction loan for Soleste Twenty2, an apartment complex planned for West Miami.
Florida Community Bank is providing the financing for the project at 2201 Ludlam Road. It marks one of six rental developments that Estate, led by Robert Suris, has built or is planning to build in West Miami. Soleste Twenty2 will be delivered in mid-2019. The 338-unit…

Global Horizons Group picks up three apartment complexes in Miami-Dade

Property management and investment firm Global Horizons Group just paid $6.3 million for a portfolio of apartment complexes scattered throughout Miami-Dade County. The 78-unit portfolio consists of the 18-unit Verona Apartments at 9050 NE 8th Avenue in Miami Shores, the 24-unit Monterrey Apartments at 575 NE 143rd Street in North Miami, and the 36-unit Pris Apartments near Opa-Locka. The deal…

Getting back to normal? : Normalization of the federal funds rate may not look so normal

This FRED graph shows the federal funds rate for approximately the past 10 years. This is the interest rate that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) targets. It’s easy to see that this interest rate has been low for most of the period shown here. But lately it’s been soaring. Or so it seems. The FOMC is currently pursuing a policy of normalization: They’re getting the federal funds rate back to “normal.”

Getting back to normal? Part 2 : Are real interest rates trending down to “normal”?

In our previous post, we mentioned that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is trying to normalize interest rates by gradually increasing the target for the federal funds rate. But what is the “normal” interest rate? Some people are arguing that it’s actually lower than what it has been before. One way to try to identify this normal state is by looking at long-term trends in interest rates: Presumably…

The amount of retail space closing in 2018 is on pace to break a record

Toys R Us. Sam’s Club. Sears. Now, Bon-Ton. The amount of retail space going dark in 2018 is on pace to break a record, as companies with massive floorplans are either trimming back their store counts or liquidating entirely. Department store chain Bon-Ton earlier this week was forced into liquidation, after a plan to restructure the business and keep some stores open fell through. The retailer, with a…

Sign of the times: Masoud Shojaee scraps plans for luxe townhouse project Eleven on Lenox in favor of lower-priced condos

Responding to the luxury market slowdown, Masoud Shojaee’s Shoma Group is scrapping plans for the multimillion-dollar townhome project Eleven on Lenox in South Beach, The Real Deal has learned. The developer will instead build lower-priced condominiums. The move marks a reversal to an original idea he had for the site near Lincoln Road a few years ago. He said it was brought on by a tough…

Developer scores approval for $40M office project next to Baptist Hospital

AJP Ventures Corp. and Mas Group are one step closer to building a $40 million office development that would replace a former synagogue in Kendall, near Baptist Hospital. The developer received unanimous approval from a community council meeting on Tuesday to move forward with its plans to build a 116,000-square-foot office plaza at 9408 Southwest 87th Avenue and…

Yoram Izhak’s IMC Equity Group buys Doral office building

Real estate investor Yoram Izhak continues to make moves in South Florida – this time adding an office building in Doral to his commercial portfolio. Records show the Israeli-born real estate investor paid $8.75 million for a 43,500-square-foot office building at 2555 Northwest 102nd Avenue, just north of Northwest 25th Street, through the company Good Homes Orlando LLC. The seller, Point at Doral…

Henley USA pays $15M for Miami and Miami Beach hotels

The U.S. arm of United Kingdom-based private equity firm Henley paid $15.4 million for two hotels in Miami and Miami Beach, property records show. Husa LH JZ LLC, a company controlled by Garrett Solomon, paid $8.6 million for the Jefferson Hotel at 528 and 534 Southwest Ninth Avenue and $6.8 million for the Jazz on South Beach, a hostel at 321 Collins Avenue. The Henley affiliate financed the…

MHP Real Estate Services, Banyan Street Capital Forge Alliance

New York-based MHP Real Estate Services has teamed with Banyan Street Capital of Miami to form one of the nation’s largest private commercial real estate companies with a combined portfolio valued at more than $3 billion. The two firms own and manage office buildings totaling more than 15 million square feet across the Eastern U.S., and will coordinate efforts while continuing to operate under…

$380 Million Development Bringing Rentals, Retail to Miami Riverfront

The banks along the Miami River are mostly closed off to the public. Developer Andrew Hellinger is determined to fix that. “It’s not as inviting as it ought to be,” said Hellinger. “What we’re trying to do is open up the river and invite the people of Miami-Dade County to come hang out with us.” Hellinger’s $380 million River Landing Shops and Residences is under construction along the river’s north bank…

Walmart’s $200 Million Plan in Miami-Dade and Rest of Florida

Walmart says it’s investing $200 million in Florida to build and improve 43 stores while also testing new technologies and innovations across the state. The retailing giant plans to open five of its smaller-formet Neighborhood Market grocery stores statewide in 2018, including three in Miami-Dade and Broward counties. A sixth grand opening will be a Supercenter in Jacksonville. Meanwhile, 37 stores…

Massirman of Miami City Self Storage on the Self-Storage Business

Jay Massirman’s specialty is self-storage, one of the more humdrum – but potentially lucrative – niches in commercial real estate. Massirman’s Miami City Self Storage (MCSS) recently opened a 1,000-unit facility at 490 NW 36th St. in Miami, close to the emerging neighborhoods of Wynwood and the Design District. MCSS and other developers saw opportunity following the housing bust…

Industry Veterans Start Portfolio Lender

Three commercial real estate finance executives have launched 3650 REIT, a Coconut Grove, FL-based private portfolio lender. The new company name comes from the number of days in a 10-year loan, one of its two primary products. “If you’re our borrower, we have a relationship with you for 3,650 days,” co-founder Jonathan Roth told CoStar News. “We really want to communicate that we’re a…

DSV Air & Sea Renews 95,000 SF in Miami

DSV Air & Sea Inc. renewed its lease for 95,000 square feet in the industrial building at 12200 NW 25th Street in Miami, FL. DSV is a global supplier of transport and logistic services. The company will continue to occupy its space in suite 115, housing its warehouse operations. The 206,000-square-foot building was constructed in 2006 in the Miami Airport West Industrial submarket. The property…

Apartment development drives housing starts in Florida, elsewhere

Anyone with eyes can see that residential construction is booming in Miami and throughout South Florida. Much of this boom is due largely to major, multi-million-dollar apartment and condominium developments. Given the increasing population in South Florida, the addition of so many new housing units will help to keep the area somewhat affordable for residents. However, with a boom in…

City of Miami task force issues dozens of violations to landlords in Little Havana

The task force, which targets blight and safety, is part of the City of Miami’s Safe City Initiative A two-day task force inspection culminated in dozens of violations for residential properties in Little Havana. The task force is part of the City of Miami’s Safe City Initiative, which targets blight and safety. Its purpose is to protect tenants’ rights by holding landlords accountable. “The health and safety of our…

A mini revolution: The strategy behind YotelPad’s first East Coast hotel-condo project

For its first micro-unit hotel-condominium on the East Coast, the Yotel chain chose a market that is awash in new development: Miami.
But the chic London-based hotel brand, which focuses on international hub cities and up-and-coming urban neighborhoods, sees an opening for its planned location in downtown Miami, which is gentrifying and redeveloping, said Yotel CEO Hubert Viriot. “Miami has…”

Seminole Hard Rock becomes the battleground for businessmen with Trump ties

Robert Toussie — a New York developer with enough clout to secure a presidential pardon for his son in 2008 that was revoked the same week it was issued — bragged about using his friendship with Donald Trump as part of an alleged revenge scheme against a former business partner who also has ties to the president, according to an explosive lawsuit filed in Miami-Dade Circuit Court last month.

Rich Turn to Crowdfunding for Properties From Offices to Hotels, Including Miami Hotelier

Driftwood Acquisitions & Development LP, a Miami-based hotel owner, took a different path to a similar strategy, says Carlos Rodriguez Jr., the chief operating officer. During the recession, the company saw cheaply priced hotels it wanted to acquire, but found that institutional partners it had relied on when the economy was growing had less appetite for risk during the downturn. Rodriguez and his…

Miami Streets Could Flood Every Day By 2070, But Businesses Will Adjust, Local Experts Say

A recently released federal report says that even by conservative estimates, Miami will experience increased daily flooding by the end of the century. Area businesses are keeping an eye on future sea level rise, but some experts that spoke to Bisnow say there is no need to panic. Maxstrz via Flickr Creative Commons Flooding on South Beach in 2009. “Miami is going to be a great place 50 years from now…

South Florida’s Office Market Slow Out Of The Gate In 2018

South Florida’s office market this year is “off to a quiet start,” JLL research shows. Tenants are moving to high-quality offices, but the pace has slowed, and older, vacated spaces are becoming more challenging to lease up. “Most net absorption gains in Class A assets were largely mirrored by losses in the Class B segment of the market, especially in suburban markets,” the JLL report said. Specifically, in Coral…

Guitar-Shaped Hotel Rises In South Florida

With kids these days into their rap music and their electronic dance, sales of musical instruments are so slow that Guitar Center’s corporate credit is rated as junk, and Gibson Guitars is facing bankruptcy. But the allure of the six-stringed instrument is still powerful. That is the bet being made by the Seminole Tribe, whose Hard Rock International is in the midst of building a 600-room, $1.5B hote…

The indicator with an almost perfect record of predicting US recessions is edging towards a tipping point

The US yield curve is flattening, a normal scenario at a time when the US Federal Reserve is lifting interest rates. When the curve has turned negative in the past — where short-dated yields are higher than for longer-dates — it has almost always indicated that a recession will occur within two years. Macquarie Bank doesn’t expect the curve to turn negative until the end of 2019, but it says 2020 will be a…

Average construction costs jumped nationally year-over-year

Average construction costs across the U.S. rose 4.2 percent last year, with Los Angeles logging the largest uptick, according to a new report. Costs jumped 7.59 percent from January 2017 to January 2018, followed by San Francisco (6.23 percent) and Portland (6.05 percent), a report by construction consultancy firm Rider Levett Bucknell shows. New York City saw a 3.29 percent increase, putting it…

The post Miami Commercial Real Estate News April 25, 2018: Mega Mall Heads for Final Approvals; Updates on Amazon HQ2; More… appeared first on HawkinsCRE.

Powered by WPeMatico

Chart: Putting Recent Rate Increases in Historical Perspective

5-Year United States Treasury Rates from January 1990 to April 2018

5-Year United States Treasury Rates from January 1990 to April 2018

Given the rise of late in interest rates, it seemed an opportune time to put rates, particularly those of the 5-Year United States Treasury most closely linked to commercial property borrowing rates, into perspective. The accompanying chart, “5-Year United States Treasury Rates from January 1990 to April 2018,” gives a nice visual perspective. In this chart, it is immediately apparent that this rate, and thus commercial property borrowing cost, has crept up a general range not seen since 2011, but still is comfortably below ranges from which is declined steadily since 1990.

Related Resources:

The post Chart: Putting Recent Rate Increases in Historical Perspective appeared first on HawkinsCRE.

Powered by WPeMatico

Chart: Fed Funds Rate Breaks Out of Near Zero Range Most Familiar to Many

Effective Federal Funds Rate in +/- 10 Years to April 19, 2018

Effective Federal Funds Rate in +/- 10 Years to April 19, 2018

Assuming a person becomes financially / economically aware around the age of 22 (I can hear the chorus, “if at all”), then anyone born after 1985 has only known a near zero short term interest rate environment. Even those older than this to a degree seem to have begun to taken it for granted. As can be seen in the accompanying chart of the effective federal funds rate for the past 10 years or so, this is changing.

The post Chart: Fed Funds Rate Breaks Out of Near Zero Range Most Familiar to Many appeared first on HawkinsCRE.

Powered by WPeMatico

Miami Commercial Real Estate News April 18, 2018: $380 Million Development on Riverfront; Bayside Evicting; More…

$380 Million Development Bringing Rentals, Retail to Miami Riverfront

The banks along the Miami River are mostly closed off to the public. Developer Andrew Hellinger is determined to fix that. “It’s not as inviting as it ought to be,” Hellinger told CoStar News. “What we’re trying to do is open up the river and invite the people of Miami-Dade County to come hang out with us.” His $380 million River Landing Shops and Residences is under construction along the north bank of…

There’s plenty wrong with Miami Beach’s sea level rise mitigation: property owners

Miami Beach’s $400 million effort to address rising seas and chronic flooding is having a negative effect on commercial and residential properties, according to residents who aired their grievances during a public hearing on Tuesday tied to an Urban Land Institute panel’s study of the city’s projects. Among the issues, Miami Beach Historic Preservation Board member Scott Needleman said Miami Beach…

U.S. Mortgage Bankers Closed Record $530 Billion In Commercial, Multifamily Loans In 2017

According to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s 2017 Commercial Real Estate/Multifamily Finance Annual Origination Volume Summation, U.S. commercial and multifamily mortgage bankers closed a record $530.1 billion of loans in 2017. “2017 was a very strong year, driven by solid property fundamentals, rising property values, low interest rates, and a ready supply of mortgage capital all…

As Malls Get Crushed, Commercial Real Estate Prices Fall to Lowest in Nearly Two Years

Commercial real estate loans at banks in the US reached a record of $4.3 trillion. This amount is now 11% higher than it had been during the crazy peak of the prior commercial real estate bubble before it imploded during the Financial Crisis. In CRE, leverage is everything. Banks, particularly smaller regional banks that specialize in it, are on the hook. Fed governors have pointed at CRE as one of the places…

Commercial Borrowing Cost Quarterly – 2018 Q1

On a quarterly basis we publish a yield curve update, showing the shift is the U.S. Treasury Yield Curve at the end of a quarter over the prior quarter. What is more directly of interest to commercial real estate investors, however, is the 5 year U.S. Treasury yield, given its relationship both to commercial borrowing costs, with many if not most commercial lenders tying rates to this yield, and cap rates…

Yield Curve Quarterly Snapshot – 2018 Q1

At the end of the 1st quarter of 2018, U.S. Treasury yields, on a nominal basis at all maturities from around 30 to 50 basis point. It was essentially the same situation on a real basis, with real rates up around 20 to near 40 basis points at all maturities. The interest rate environment has the ability to affect commercial property economics in a number of different ways (see this, this, and this). Borrowing…

Congress Group launches sales of new Bay Harbor Islands condo project

More than two years after buying waterfront land in Bay Harbor Islands, Congress Group is launching sales of a boutique condo project, the second of two developments it’s planning in the bayfront town. Congress hired Compass to handle sales of Opus Bay Harbor, a seven-unit, eight-story building planned for 10301 East Bay Harbor Drive, said Philip Freedman, managing director of Compass Florida’s…

Multifamily development drives March increase in housing starts

Construction starts exceeded expectations in March on the back of strong multifamily development. A federal report released Tuesday show that residential new construction rose by 1.9 percent to a 1.32 million annualized rate, around 50,000 more than the 1.27 million earlier predicted, according to Bloomberg. The typically volatile multifamily sector saw starts rise by 14.4 percent, reversing the 10.2…

Miami downtown riverfront targeted for three towers

In August Miami voters may be asked to OK redevelopment of 4.2 acres of downtown riverfront that would add city revenue and improve access to the growing waterfront after razing the city-owned James L. Knight Convention Center and attached Hyatt hotel at 400 SE Second Avenue. CBRE, a commercial real estate services firm, has been negotiating on behalf of the city with Hyatt Equities LLC about… the…

Courthouse consultant KPMG leaks confidential proposal, ousted

Less than a month before a decision on how to move forward on a new Miami-Dade courthouse, consultants last week leaked a confidential unsolicited proposal to a potential competitor. As a result, KPMG is no longer advising on the project and the county is seeking new consultants to remain on schedule. The courthouse at 73 W Flagler Street, built almost 100 years ago, needs immediate…

Luxury condo Brickell Flatiron is 75 percent sold, still has over 100 units available

The developer has completed 32 floors of the proposed 64-story benchmark Developer CMC Group has sold about 75 percent of its 549 units at Brickell Flatiron, a luxury condominium tower in Downtown Miami. The luxury sky rise—that will measure 736 feet tall once its finished—has nearly 138 units that are still available. Ugo Colombo, developer and CEO of CMC Group, also completed 32 floors of the…

Confidential downtown Miami courthouse plans leaked to rival developer

Details of Brightline’s parent company’s plans for a new courthouse in downtown Miami were leaked to a competing real estate developer by the county’s consultant, according to a memo from Miami-Dade Mayor Carlos Gimenez. That throws a new wrench into the already controversial development plans for the new courthouse. KPMG LLP, the county’s financial adviser on public-private projects, will no…

Related and Dezer sell Hyde Midtown hotel for $22M

The Related Group and Dezer Development sold the hotel component of Hyde Midtown for $21.8 million, property records show. Midtown Hotel Investment LLC, led by Haim Yehezkel, bought the yet-to-open 60-room hotel at 4101 Northeast First Avenue in Miami. Yehezkel heads Elysee Investments, a commercial investment firm in Miami Beach and New York. The buyer financed the deal with a…

Miami Industrial Real Estate Market Report First Quarter 2018

For the first time, the average asking gross lease rate for warehouse spaces in Miami is now above the $10.00 per sq. ft. mark (but, just barely). Strong market forces and new construction have helped make this happen. Landlords will continue to push rates even higher, however this first quarter shows a slight increase of the average vacancy rate to 4.3% and the positive absorption was only 10,422 sf…

Resorts World Denied Bid To Move Gaming Permit From Gulfstream

Genting may not transfer a racing license from Gulfstream Park to Resorts World Miami, the State of Florida has ruled. The company had filed a Petition for a Declaratory Statement with the state’s Department of Business and Professional Regulation on whether a permit could transferred to the Omni property in downtown Miami. At issue was whether the permit could be moved from Gulfstream, which…

Panorama Tower adds tech-focused fitness center in Miami

Residents will also have access to Virtual Fitness Concierge, an app that tracks your fitness goals Panorama Tower, a 821-unit property in Miami, offers residents access to a tech-friendly fitness center that includes a concierge app that helps manage exercising. The Brickell Avenue residency released renderings of its amenities. The 15,000-square-foot fitness center includes an app by Fit Solutions called…

Luxury condo X Miami adds dog park and outdoor cinema as new amenities

The 464-unit property features other amenities such as a courtyard and fitness studio X Miami—an apartment community that’s big on residents engaging—released renderings of its amenities that includes a dog park and outdoor cinema. The luxury condo also shared renderings of its other perks that includes a pool deck. Residents of the 464-unit property in Downtown Miami won’t need to leave…

Bayside alleges four stores haven’t paid rent, sues to evict Claire’s and Envy

The owner of Bayside Marketplace filed four separate lawsuits against Claire’s and three other retailers, alleging unpaid rent. In some cases, it is seeking to evict the tenants. Bayside Marketplace LLC wants to evict Claire’s and Envy from the waterfront mall at 401 Biscayne Boulevard. It’s also suing Splash Perfumes and I Luv Miami for allegedly not paying rent. A spokesperson for the mall declined to…

Norman Sturner merges MHP with Miami’s Banyan Street Capital

Norman Sturner’s MHP Real Estate Services sold a stake in the company for an undisclosed figure to Miami-based firm Banyan Street Capital, forming a joint venture with a combined portfolio valued at more than $3 billion. Sturner, MHP’s president and CEO, will hold the position of chairman of the combined companies, the Commercial Observer reported. He will focus on sourcing deals and…

Midtown 29 awarded LEED Silver certification by U.S. Green Building Council

The LEED Silver certification is given to buildings with sustainable design and a focus on saving energy The U.S. Green Building Council awarded architecture and design firm, Stantec with a LEED Silver certificate for its green-friendly residential building, Midtown 29. USGBC is a non-profit organization that gives a framework to create efficient and cost-saving buildings. LEED, or Leadership in Energy and…

Despite failed crowdfunding effort, billionaire continuing with Toys “R” Us bid

From TRD NYC: Who wouldn’t donate to a billionaire’s GoFundMe campaign to save a bankrupt toy retailer? Most people, evidently, but the poor response to Isaac Larian’s crowdfunding campaign — it was supposed to bring in $1 billion and only raised $59,000 so far — is not slowing him down. Larian, the founder of MGA Entertainment which makes toys like Bratz dolls, told the…

CC Residential lands $43.3 milion construction loan for Doral apartments

CC Residential, led by developers Armando Codina and James Carr, landed a $43.3 million bank loan to finance construction of an apartment building in Doral. A company affiliated with Coral Gables-based CC Residential got the construction loan from PNC Bank. The loan will finance construction of Doral 4200, a 250-unit apartment building on a 9.6-acre site at 4200 Northwest 107th Avenue in Doral.

Sprouts Farmers Market plans to open its first grocery stores in South Florida

Organic grocery store chain Sprouts Farmers Market plans to open its first two South Florida locations in Broward County and Palm Beach County. The Phoenix, Arizona-based company announced plans to open stores in Deerfield Beach and Wellington, but didn’t specify when. The new stores will be located at Federal Highway and Southeast 10th Street in Deerfield Beach, and at State Road 7 and Old…

$1.8M sky lounge designed by Koko Architecture + Design debuts in Miami

A $1.8 million sky lounge was unveiled Tuesday on the eleventh floor of the Miami Tower at 100 SE 2nd Street in Miami. The reveal was by Transwestern, which manages the floor-to-ceiling glass property for Sumitomo Corporation of Americas. The sky lounge is part of the 5,500-square-foot sky lobby. Amenities include three bars, a banquet…

Lucky’s plans to open three more grocery stores in South Florida

Lucky’s Market plans to expand its chain of grocery stores to multiple markets in Florida including Boca Raton, Cooper City and Dania Beach. Boulder, Colorado-based Lucky’s will open the new grocery stores in South Florida and elsewhere in the state within two years.
Lucky’s already has three South Florida locations in Coral Springs, Oakland Park and Plantation and plans two open three more in Boca…

Turnberry Associates and LeFrak buy Costco store next to SoLē Mia

Turnberry Associates and LeFrak just picked up a Costco site to add to their $4 billion SoLē Mia mixed-use project. Property records show an affiliate of Turnberry Associates and LeFrak paid $16.94 million to buy the Costco at 14585 Biscayne Boulevard in North Miami Beach. The property sits on 11.5 acres of land. Costco Wholesale Corp. sold the 143,550-square-foot…

Threefold Cafe to open new concept in Allapattah & other restaurant moves

Threefold Cafe and Relentless Roasters are joining forces to launch a new concept in Allapattah. Threefold, which has two locations in Coral Gables, and Relentless Roasters, a craft coffee roasting company based in Miami, will open Deco Coffee Co. at 2829 Northwest 13th Avenue in Allapattah, according to broker Luis Guevara. Guevara, Lyle Chariff and Mauricio Zapata of Chariff Realty Group brokered the…

AVR proposes 82-story tower in downtown Miami

The owner of a downtown Miami Courtyard Marriott is proposing redeveloping the site into an 82-story mixed-use tower. A proposal filed with the city of Miami’s Urban Development Review Board reveals AVR Realty Co.’s plans to build a 1.5-million-square-foot residential and hotel high-rise at 200 Southeast Second Avenue. The development would include 637 residential units, 266 hotel rooms, about 9,200…

Tax increment financing could fund sea level rise mitigation projects: David Martin

The panel on development in a sea level rise environment: Architect Lisa Anne Couture, Harvard professor Jesse M. Keenan, developer David Martin, U.S. Congressman Patrick Murphy and Adler Group executive Jonathan Raiffe. To entice developers into combating sea level rise, local governments should consider leveraging property tax revenues from a designated area to finance infrastructure projects that…

Changes at Lennar: Stuart Miller steps down as CEO, replaced by Rick Beckwitt

Stuart Miller stepped down as CEO of Lennar Corp. and will be replaced in that role by Rick Beckwitt, the company announced on Thursday. Miller is now executive chairman of the Miami-based homebuilding company. He was previously chairman and CEO. Lennar was co-founded by Miller’s father, Leonard Miller, in the 1950s and has grown to become the biggest home builder in the country. Stuart…

Walmart’s $200M Plan in Florida

Walmart says it’s investing $200 million in Florida to build and improve 43 stores while also testing new technologies and innovations across the state. The retailing giant plans to open five of its smaller-formet Neighborhood Market grocery stores statewide in 2018, including three in Miami-Dade and Broward counties. A sixth grand opening will be a Supercenter in Jacksonville. Meanwhile, 37 stores…

Aventura Mall just installed charging stations for electric cars

Aventura Mall recently added charging stations near two anchor stores Now you can extend your shopping time at Aventura Mall. The Miami mall’s latest addition are charging stations for electric cars. “As the number of electric vehicles increase, so does the need for Blink EV charging stations in retail locations across the country,” says Blink Charging’s chief executive offcer, Mike Calise. “We are ecstatic to…”

Data: Fisher Island holds the wealthiest zip code in America

A report by Bloomberg shows that Fisher Island is the most exclusive neighborhood in the US When it comes to money, the people of Fisher Island have loads to spare—so much that it’s considered the richest zip code in America. This accomplishment is a huge jump from its fourth place slot two years ago. In 2015, zip code 33109 boasts an average income of $2.5 million per person, says Bloomberg data.

Sneak peek at Miami Design District’s new Museum Garage

A new garage with an array of whimsical facades is set to open in Miami’s Design District by the end of the month. Featuring designs by five high-profile architects, the seven-story Museum Garage on 41st Street and Northeast First Avenue will house ground-level retail and space for 800 cars. The Miami Design District is majority owned and operated by Miami Design District Associates, a partnership…

Axiom Construction scores financing for downtown Homestead Station project

The city of Homestead is one step closer to completing its public/private transit-oriented project, which will include a ShowBiz Cinema, more than 30,000 square feet of retail and a new parking garage. Property records show developer Axiom Construction scored a $13.7 million construction loan for Homestead Station, a 150,000-square-foot development planned by the city in…

The richest ZIP code in the US was once owned by a Vanderbilt

Where in the U.S. do locals take in an average of $2.5 million a year? Somewhere in Silicon Valley, Manhattan, or Los Angeles? It’s actually on a man-made barrier island in Miami, Florida named after South Florida’s first African-American millionaire and once owned by the Vanderbilt family. Fisher Island’s 33109 ZIP code is the country’s richest, according to an analysis of 2015 tax data by Bloomberg.

Self-Storage: A Lucrative But ‘Get-Rich-Slow Business’

Jay Massirman’s specialty is self-storage, one of the more humdrum – but potentially lucrative – niches in commercial real estate. Massirman’s Miami City Self Storage (MCSS) recently opened a 1,000-unit facility at 490 NW 36th St. in Miami, close to the emerging neighborhoods of Wynwood and the Design District. MCSS and other developers saw opportunity following the housing…

The Miami Beach Surf Club, Other Great Robber Baron Getaways Are Being Reborn as Top Hotels

The History: The Surf Club opened with a debauched New Year’s Eve gala in 1930—in the middle of Prohibition—and never stopped partying. Elizabeth Arden would throw Champagne-fueled fashion shows by the pool. Winston Churchill took two poolside cabanas: one for painting and one for sleeping off hangovers. Frank Sinatra and other members of the Rat Pack saw it as a place to do whatever they…

In Miami, Even The Parking Garages Are Sexy

Miami is serious about its parking garages. On Miami Beach, one such structure designed by Herzog & De Meuron is so fancy that people hold weddings atop it. When South Beach needed a garage at Collins Park, famed architect Zaha Hadid, who died in 2016, went to work designing it (although it won’t get built due to costs). At Porsche Design Tower, residents can take their cars up the elevator and drive…

Coconut Grove Park Homeowners Assn Protests Density in Proposed NCD Changes

The Coconut Grove Park Homeowners Assn. (CGPHA)sent this mailing out yesterday, regarding the upcoming PZAB board hearing on the proposed new Coconut Grove NCD changes. It appears to many that it supports too much density in the Grove. We are a small village, it makes no sense to add so much density to the village. From the CGPHA: This Wednesday at 6:30 pm there will be a PZAB hearing to…

Coconut Grove’s Florentine Plaza to become “The Grove MIA?”

Florentine Plaza has plans for a make-over, but it’s not finalized, yet they are already scouting for tenants. The current plans for the complex to be called “The Grove MIA” doesn’t appear to be adding a high rise. The current Mediterranean style of the building will be preserved, but modernized. At the rear of the complex, where the parking lot is now, will be Phase II, which will consist of retail shops.

Video: German Startup Volocopter Developing “Air Taxi” System for Cities

Germany based Volocopter aims to be taken seriously in the “flying car” business with its well considered infrastructure plan. They propose a system of landing pads, charging stations, and passenger loading and unloading areas around an urban area. In this video, the company is promoting its vision for a network of rooftop based “Volo-ports” where the company claims as many as a thousand…

The post Miami Commercial Real Estate News April 18, 2018: $380 Million Development on Riverfront; Bayside Evicting; More… appeared first on HawkinsCRE.

Powered by WPeMatico